Posts

TheCryptoverseGuide Post # 2 What I think Buffet meant with Bitcoin is rat poison - the ONE ENORMOUS problem of Bitcoin no one discusses that may lead it disappear by 2035-2050, about 100-80 years before the last Bitcoin is mined (a supply and demand analysis, not just a SUPPLY analysis).

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In another piece I clarified that bitcoin mining refers to the process of using GPUs to solve complex tasks/puzzles and get rewards for verifying transactions on the network (available here ). I also wrote that, the most important thing about Bitcoin is the Bitcoin Halving events. These events are dates which are about 4 years apart from each other and cut the reward of the miners by half. 1. Supply analysis 1.1. Bitcoin halving events, cycles, rewards, changes and implications for future Supply In this section, I look at the Bitcoin halving cycles, their implications for block rewards, supply and future block rewards. The key point of this analysis is to show that with each halving cycle, the decrease in mining rewards causes to be less incentive to keep mining Bitcoins and verify transactions on the network. This may have significant implications post 2030-2035. But before we go into these, let's dive into the halving cycles and what they did for Bitcoin rewards and also analyse ...
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TheSocionomicsProdigy Post #1 Dogecoin (DOGMONEY) and how I knew it will top on 29 April, 4 days in advance of 03 May 2021. And what about now?

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Dogecoin had a phenomenal bull-run during 2020-2021, growing by about 15,600% in a year or less. Figure 1 below also shows that despite the decline from nearly $0.60-$0.70 (different tops on different exchanges from $0.60 to $0.68) to $0.06, dog money is still 12,600% up since the token's inception date. The key thing however is that not many people have obtained these 12,000%. Most people who followed Elon Musk probably bought at $0.20 to $0.60, leaving them at least at a -55%-90%. This is to show the so-called effect of FOMO, which leaves those who follow to be REKT. One good question from here is, does the fact that no one is talking about dog money, actually represent an opportunity to buy a puppy (in this case doge). Before we consider this, let us first examine the dynamic around the 2020-2021 rally and how it was obvious at about 29-30 April 2021 that it will come to an end (and soon). On 29 April, YouTube gave an euphoria signal in one video specifically dedicated to puttin...
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TheIntelligentMacroAnalyst Post #1 The macro framework I have been following since March 2019/2020 - a review of past and future predictions

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If this is the first piece of mine you have opened, please  refer back to my purpose of the blog page to inform yourself about the purpose of this series  from  here . Please read this section carefully and if you don't at least read the part the middle of the page titled "What does this blog include?". Without reading the PURPOSE OF THE BLOG, there is a chance you misunderstand what 1) this series - The IntelligentMacroAnalyst and 2) this blog are about. In this first piece, I will not look into a specific PESTLE factor (PESTLE refers the Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal and Environmental external environment factors that affect every industry and every firm in the world, see Figure 1., below), but I will look into a set of predictions I made in 2020 about how a second economic crash will come in 2021-2022 (after the 2020 COVID-19) and it will worsen the quality of our lives. My key thesis was that we would have a global crisis and that will cause the ex...
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